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Is Obama Actually Doing Well In Ohio?

This afternoon, Obama kicked off his reelection campaign in Columbus, OH, and TV analysts routinely noted that Obama appears well positioned in the Buckeye State. The RCP average shows Obama leading by...

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Pennsylvania: The Most Demographically Misunderstood Swing State

Perhaps no swing state is understood as poorly as Pennsylvania. You can’t read an article about Pennsylvania without hearing about the blue collar workers critical to Obama’s chances. Pennsylvania is...

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“Mr. 48%” Obscures Obama’s Advantage in Virginia, Disadvantage in Ohio

Yesterday morning, NBC/Marist greeted us with swing state polling in three critical battlegrounds: Virginia, Ohio, and Florida. The three polls showed Obama ahead by a modest margin with 48% of the...

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